Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 330.808875 374.292170 422.342833 479.550196 546.024104 621.092143 712.650310
2025-11-30 266.414986 323.763296 392.685780 482.312794 596.790727 739.469207 932.880342
2025-12-07 226.777270 288.323840 366.365827 473.866572 620.112931 815.071572 1099.648165
2025-12-14 200.449938 264.277475 348.805654 470.890523 645.969672 893.109255 1277.771950
2025-12-21 175.334808 237.984341 323.907445 452.896793 646.115713 932.263850 1402.707154
2025-12-28 165.100303 230.560081 323.483274 468.450844 695.344939 1048.221936 1662.260303
2026-01-04 157.258042 225.398220 325.239023 486.667708 749.968190 1179.012643 1967.761694
2026-01-11 146.635323 214.886417 317.639800 488.994296 778.745139 1270.765452 2221.017755
2026-01-18 134.801786 201.339117 303.880747 479.536061 786.095544 1326.022002 2415.996443
2026-01-25 124.562802 189.326308 291.308332 470.417944 792.397302 1379.411425 2615.749247
2026-02-01 119.705598 185.403346 291.296765 482.402594 837.308795 1509.642321 2994.779252
2026-02-08 112.607250 177.209532 283.418303 479.601409 854.298340 1588.205584 3278.878893
2026-02-15 105.348818 168.358701 273.956443 473.487429 865.233794 1658.359872 3564.127829
2026-02-22 100.115112 162.543446 269.255441 475.692942 892.847638 1767.415891 3965.609121
2026-03-01 93.791021 154.343944 259.617264 467.443001 898.037272 1828.795375 4263.380375
2026-03-08 88.832489 148.168650 253.092340 464.506681 913.799269 1915.836791 4647.331633
2026-03-15 82.275982 138.689710 239.784228 446.797664 895.698721 1922.242857 4815.530265
2026-03-22 80.621081 137.954579 242.667245 462.106374 951.993726 2113.797261 5553.109529
2026-03-29 79.353947 137.821555 246.642434 480.034294 1016.590690 2337.173209 6450.036337
2026-04-05 76.307373 134.136356 243.433150 482.323844 1044.948464 2473.017899 7114.629583
2026-04-12 72.192433 128.154495 235.256992 473.015988 1044.254107 2531.827614 7543.591339
2026-04-19 68.416834 122.598574 227.548536 464.042372 1043.323636 2590.022120 7988.549265
2026-04-26 67.026806 121.599208 228.993572 475.836997 1096.221338 2809.161255 9081.907458